Polymarket Trader

Cinnamon4

0xc525217070c9c8efd71e484352c692e54495de89

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.25
Realized PnL: $127.59
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $40.67
Potential payout: $40.85
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $16.16

Chicago White Sox position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $11.01
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Rockets vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.71

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 29?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

Pistons position

76ers vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

Pistons position

Pistons vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Hurricanes position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 24-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

No 60% 40.85 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 22?

Yes 47% 18.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

No 75% 15.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 36% 26.94 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 47% 21.6 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?

No 50.5% 22.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Yes 54.8% 30.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?

No 46% 16.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

Down 44% 10.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10?

Yes 43% 14.19 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 29?

Yes 71.3% 41.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?

Yes 41% 18.73 shares