Polymarket Trader

0x4A2d3bDd5fa5A5C499B45FF653407Eb8bE1Dd3A3-1774466939546

0xc5310f8bf609dd1f5c18c740aae0d3224a139bda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $935.38
Realized PnL: -$25.22
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $752.36
Potential payout: $167.19K
Potential profit: $166.44K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $196.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.78
Potential profit: $493.78
User PnL: -$21.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 59.2%
Current value: $142.73
Potential payout: $241.3
Potential profit: $98.57
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$6.31

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $20.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.25
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $19.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $71.36
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $28.22

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.5% 81.3 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.9% 160 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 9,418.19 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 3,800 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 3,079.84 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 1,200 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 1,400 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 4,600 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Jakub Mensik 22% 136.36 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.3% 2,319.51 shares