No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $36.43
- Potential payout
- $224.19
- Potential profit
- $187.76
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Polymarket Trader
victortrader
@Airdrops_Agency
0xc534b3ad7e0d06943a86796f13ad0db1ed6bb734
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $300.76
- Realized PnL
- $709.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $180
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.2%
- Current value
- $53.6
- Potential payout
- $89.11
- Potential profit
- $35.51
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
No position
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.25
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
No position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.7
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.96
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.54
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $48.96
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.75
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.34
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.38
No position
Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.16
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.43
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.61
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No 30% 18.62 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No 30% 15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 13% 199.91 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 35% 100 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 40% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.7% 66.54 shares
- Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?No 80.8% 20 shares
- Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 15% 20 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 14% 114.14 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 12% 200 shares
- Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?No 78% 7.33 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 58% 29.08 shares