Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $333.96
- Potential profit
- $328.95
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Polymarket Trader
mukade
0xc55189517cf6c8c79ff8bd8ad7e12046fa7a1d6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.09
- Realized PnL
- -$1.59
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.7%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $8.22
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.7% 4.1 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.7% 4.1 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.6% 8.2 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.7% 4.1 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 40.99 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.8% 40.98 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.7% 4.1 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No 95.5% 4.05 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No 95.8% 4.05 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6% 45.86 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4% 45.87 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6% 22.73 shares