Polymarket Trader

0xC57B5b8B21585b4E871de9981436C93c40aD8281-1754993278151

0xc57b5b8b21585b4e871de9981436c93c40ad8281

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $143.98
Realized PnL: $683.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $16.42
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$49.33

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.88
Potential profit: $523.88
User PnL: -$162.37

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$27.82

Yes position

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $8.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.5
Potential profit: $217.5
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.74
Potential profit: $110.74
User PnL: -$10.47

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $12.76
Potential payout: $100.1
Potential profit: $87.34
Multiplier: 7.84x
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.8%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $77.92
Potential profit: $32.92
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $56.47
Potential payout: $61.72
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.87
Potential profit: $28.87
User PnL: -$24.1

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will Powell say "Tariff" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.1

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.11

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.88

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.74

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.09

No position

Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.14

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.92

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.47

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.86

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.49

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.68

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 81 and 84%?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.53

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.56

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Down 32% 292.92 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 15.7% 30 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Down 31% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 52% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 61.6% 35 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 65% 5 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 45% 20 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 16.1% 24 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

Down 45% 15 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 16% 46.1 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Down 33% 16.18 shares
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Down 44% 30 shares