Polymarket Trader

taukita

0xc585e3210d5d03e4084514c534d9ab97b9e1188f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $158.51
Realized PnL: $181.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$41

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $91
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.13
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.67
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $26.29
Multiplier: 8.06x
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $20.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.79
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$10.99

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $18.63
Potential profit: $16.43
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $9.48
Potential profit: $4.17
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $3.52
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $3.12
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.26

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.55

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 66% 20 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Switzerland 24.3% 20 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Yes 60% 5 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 67% 2.99 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 68% 10 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 53% 10 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 61% 20 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?

Yes 5% 30 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 7% 20 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 7% 25 shares
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 4% 25 shares