Polymarket Trader

0xc59DD6431eB8a80921f4cc1CBF1A6d5cB1823eac-1762455740294

0xc59dd6431eb8a80921f4cc1cbf1a6d5cb1823eac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.52
Realized PnL: $66.82
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.29
Potential profit: $347.29
User PnL: -$10.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $279
Potential profit: $262.4
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$12.95

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.67
Potential profit: $50.67
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.61
Potential profit: $28.61
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $20.28
Potential profit: $17.61
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $20.16
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.1%
Current value: $11.87
Potential payout: $17.7
Potential profit: $5.83
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.7
Potential profit: $17.7
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Johannes Kaiser win at least 19% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

No position

Will Kast win by at least 25%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.18

DR Congo position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.87

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 21% 10 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 10.9% 83.8 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 9.9% 26 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64.9% 7.7 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 87% 5 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

England 98% 0.83 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

England 97% 3.11 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

England 76% 3.95 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 25% 16.88 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 53% 5.62 shares