Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $15.68
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Polymarket Trader
0xc5ae...1065
0xc5aec54b90d9d01bba1256e9c9971bbebbfe1065
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $185.15
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $18.26
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $201.74
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $48.55
- Potential payout
- $190.38
- Potential profit
- $141.84
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $24.32
- Potential payout
- $124.74
- Potential profit
- $100.42
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$15.28
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $46.73
- Potential payout
- $81.27
- Potential profit
- $34.54
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $31.5
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $17.89
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 22% 22.5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 1.2% 1,650 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 60.9% 81.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 26% 76.15 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 22% 90 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 9% 220 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 99.8% 57.92 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 26% 190.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 40.8% 48.59 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 11% 45 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 16.7% 57.93 shares