Polymarket Trader

autist

0xc5c2918b13cf2d9996b759e8a72081bd87e6c423

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $93.97
Realized PnL: $1.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open?

Ends Jan 26, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022?

Ends Jan 6, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open?

Ends Jan 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.38
Potential profit: $507.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.12
Potential profit: $498.12
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the National Anthem at the Superbowl LVI be longer than 100 seconds?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.8
Potential profit: $270.8
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will a candidate from another party win Maine US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.98
Potential profit: $224.98
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will $MFER hit $1 Billion FDV before June?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.2
Potential profit: $207.2
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.41
Potential profit: $118.41
User PnL: -$4.9

Magic position

Magic vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$15

No position

Blast airdrop by May?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $47.52
Potential payout: $47.52
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $32.04

No position

Will $USDC repeg by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $22.64
User PnL: -$8.41

Yes position

OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $20.01
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

BTC above $28,000 at end of August?

Ends Aug 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.38
Potential profit: $17.38
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the WGA strike end by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.26
Potential profit: $13.26
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $12.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.68

No position

OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $9.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.23
Potential profit: $7.23
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.14

Nets position

Suns vs. Nets

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.82
Potential profit: $5.82
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.53

Bucks position

Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series?

Ends Jun 19, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.92

Yes position

Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)?

Ends Dec 24, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.94

No position

Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays?

Ends Jan 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.52

Hawks position

Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series?

Ends Jun 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.08

Croatia position

World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia

Ends Dec 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.99

No position

NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their December 25 matchup?

Ends Dec 25, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.85

Hawks position

Will the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jul 5, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 18349713.48x
User PnL: $38.97

Clippers position

Will the Jazz or the Clippers win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series?

Ends Jun 14, 2020

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $35.89

Sacks position

Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.16

Hawks position

Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1?

Ends Jun 23, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.86

No position

Will Rafael Nadal win the Roland-Garros (French Open)?

Ends Jun 13, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

No position

Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election?

Ends Sep 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.57

Braves position

Will the Braves or Dodgers win their NLCS matchup?

Ends Oct 24, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.51

Yes position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?

Ends Aug 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43

Warriors position

Will the Warriors or Lakers win their season opener?

Ends Oct 19, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.97

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?

Ends Jan 7, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?

Ends Nov 22, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Yes position

Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

Yes position

Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.03

Yes position

Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?

Ends Nov 18, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 174904052.60x
User PnL: $16.42

No position

Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3175269.87x
User PnL: $9.33

No position

Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami in December 2021?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?

Ends Oct 5, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6692579.53x
User PnL: $8.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 73% 1.37 shares
Commanders vs. Eagles

Commanders 29% 3.45 shares
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Yes 28.6% 3.5 shares
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

No 71.1% 1.44 shares
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Yes 29.8% 3.36 shares
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Yes 29.8% 3.36 shares
Suns vs. Nets

Nets 16% 6.25 shares
Pistons vs. Hawks

Pistons 39% 2.56 shares
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Yes 32.8% 3.05 shares