Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $340.31
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$663.9
Polymarket Trader
eccho
0xc5c4df196bf3b0e74b42ca8f1af07049c1f72781
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $418.22
- Realized PnL
- $3.56K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.03
- Potential profit
- $435.03
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $77.91
- Potential payout
- $371.02
- Potential profit
- $293.11
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.63
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.43
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.08
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.77
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $6.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Yes 20.3% 253.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown 5.7% 435.03 shares
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 31% 3,241 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by April 17?No 23.9% 700 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 41.6% 402.5 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 402.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown 22% 42.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown 55.9% 171.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 29.6% 99.44 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 51.4% 1,095 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 49% 13.32 shares