Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $26.6K
- Potential payout
- $312.91K
- Potential profit
- $286.32K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$89.99K
Polymarket Trader
polywally
0xc5d343df2e64662ca50a4d37333c183e515ad640
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.6K
- Realized PnL
- $127.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.82K
- Potential profit
- $105.82K
- User PnL
- -$23.75K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.6K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.82
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.02
No position
Biden drops out by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660
No position
Will Biden resign before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.22
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 6,264.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 33% 3,899.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 23% 60,258.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 22% 33,461.07 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 15% 166.66 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 13.8% 4,858.49 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 12.7% 1,504.62 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 12.7% 348.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 53% 7,496.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 52% 1,916.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 48% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 50% 50,407.87 shares