No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $148.69
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $48.69
Polymarket Trader
sssshishiga
0xc5d4a67edb49cdcc830e58ad0fd984ea1f4e08fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $379.31
- Realized PnL
- $439.12
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $122.12
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $20.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $32.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $108.47
- Potential payout
- $112.12
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.88
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.07
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.47
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
No position
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.47
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons 65% 46.15 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerFURIA 27% 11.11 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons 38% 26.32 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons 50% 40 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA 5% 47.61 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA 42% 47.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89.2% 112.12 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 95.6% 68.77 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 8% 22.72 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 68.78 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 48.5% 41.27 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 22% 22.73 shares