No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.46
- Potential profit
- $80.46
- User PnL
- -$70
Polymarket Trader
d08m3tr4
0xc5d4d5336b0620a4cddeb77d8cc10721fc26f3bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.75
- Realized PnL
- $68.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.53
- Potential profit
- $35.53
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.96
- Potential profit
- $31.96
- User PnL
- -$1.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.04
- Potential profit
- $26.04
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.76
- Potential profit
- $24.76
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $19.2
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Bulls
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
No position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 35.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 80.46 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 52% 24.62 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 91% 65.93 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 94.1% 50.64 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No 79% 12.66 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 57.3% 19.2 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 96.1% 22.1 shares
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No 63% 24.76 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?Yes 99.3% 15.64 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?Yes 93.3% 15.65 shares
- Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 89.4% 19.02 shares