Polymarket Trader

megawinforall

0xc5f2f6fd0c71aaec4fd7d52dd996ed26b5c32230

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $778.75
Realized PnL: $654.04
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $10.53K
User PnL: -$64.99

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.9%
Current value: $636.44
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $426.95
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Solana reach $120 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $960.5
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Canva IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $102.81
Potential payout: $663.3
Potential profit: $560.49
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $62.81

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.91
Potential profit: $249.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.8
Potential profit: $135.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.54
Potential profit: $126.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.18
Potential profit: $104.18
User PnL: -$29.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.09
Potential profit: $95.09
User PnL: -$16.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.79
Potential profit: $84.79
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "Fat shot" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.2
Potential profit: $60.2
User PnL: -$4.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $16.98
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.28

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.92

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.35

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

Yes position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.07

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$12.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$112.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Discord IPO before 2027?

Yes 66.8% 500 shares
Databricks IPO before 2027?

Yes 17% 810.26 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 1,000 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 5.5% 181.82 shares
Canva IPO before 2027?

Yes 9.2% 163.3 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Yes 6% 250 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Canva IPO before 2027?

Yes 5% 500 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

No 5% 200 shares
Discord IPO before 2027?

Yes 53.2% 563.38 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 38% 370.18 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

No 73.9% 277.6 shares