Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $735
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $265
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$65
Polymarket Trader
94382761
0xc5f73f13686ee042952c3ede0930d60e24968bf1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $897.66
- Realized PnL
- $818.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.28
- Potential profit
- $537.28
- User PnL
- -$100
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$156
Paraguay position
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $162.66
- Potential payout
- $194.81
- Potential profit
- $32.14
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $12.66
Türkiye position
Spread: Australia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.87
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.57
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.37
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.51
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.53
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.13
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Paraguay 77% 194.81 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Scotland 99.9% 7.01 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia 85% 100 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 61% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 1,000 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Uzbekistan 99.7% 200.6 shares
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Ghana 93% 107.53 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)Uzbekistan 98.8% 101.18 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 18% 50 shares
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Jordan 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 81% 50 shares