Polymarket Trader

nitum

0xc601bea662a62f49fa5a0803271ac27e568836aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $68.78
Realized PnL: $94.34
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $143.2
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 72.1%
Current value: $19.39
Potential payout: $26.9
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $9.48
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Macron out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

No 89% 10 shares
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11% 41 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 9% 60 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 36.7% 20 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 72.5% 6.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Down 71% 4.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Down 40.9% 4.85 shares
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

No 9% 111.11 shares
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?

No 26% 15 shares
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?

Yes 64% 15 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

No 97.2% 1.05 shares