Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $8.11K
- Potential payout
- $141.09K
- Potential profit
- $132.98K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$16.89K
Polymarket Trader
0xc615d34879c57eeF6ab81cF8F6e3d239EAe7e982-1768826962316
0xc615d34879c57eef6ab81cf8f6e3d239eae7e982
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.38K
- Realized PnL
- $11.87K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101K
- Potential profit
- $101K
- User PnL
- -$202
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $59.28K
- Potential payout
- $59.48K
- Potential profit
- $208.2
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.87K
- Potential payout
- $40.47K
- Potential profit
- $34.6K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.87K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $390
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.61K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $12.05K
- Potential profit
- $10.18K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.07K
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $7.85K
- Potential payout
- $11.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $97.08
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $10.54K
- Potential profit
- $9.54K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $110.57
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $9.94K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$2.65K
Yes position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $8.91K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $113.69
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $8.38K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $417.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $868.19
- Potential payout
- $4.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$279.86
No position
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $561.56
- Potential payout
- $649.2
- Potential profit
- $87.64
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $81.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $675.3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $584.14
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.89
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$398.9
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$797.56
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.7% 10,102.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 100,000 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 14% 3,000 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 20% 1,700.63 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 360.94 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 19% 4,815 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 100,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 22% 3,923.11 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.6% 2,714.68 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 26% 8,602.11 shares