Polymarket Trader

bc1234

0xc623706ce98518443d190568de44778094a39afd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.53K
Realized PnL: $104.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.53K
Potential payout: $40.97K
Potential profit: $35.44K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$17.62K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79K

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11K

Red Sox position

Rockies vs. Red Sox

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

Brewers position

Brewers vs. Reds

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.97K

Tigers position

Rays vs. Tigers

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

Red Sox position

Rockies vs. Red Sox

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Braves position

Braves vs. Marlins

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $110K on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 61.2% 13,312.26 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 99.8% 8,169.86 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 42% 1,001.83 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 72.1% 7,172.77 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 48% 20,485.09 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 72.5% 4,135.87 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.3% 7,413.67 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 53.7% 606.15 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 51.1% 1,000 shares
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

No 32.2% 399.78 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.9% 7,413.67 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on March 9?

Down 30% 527.45 shares