Polymarket Trader

Bperil

@BP3_PM

0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.63K
Realized PnL: $17.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $224.85
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$16.76

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $713.52
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $640.36
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $447.38
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: -$58.58

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $641.97
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $833.82
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $53.57

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $776.74
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $486.25
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$27.65

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $551.49
Potential payout: $880.41
Potential profit: $328.92
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$23.51

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $346.79
Potential payout: $806.5
Potential profit: $459.7
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $18.39

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $378.62
Potential payout: $805.58
Potential profit: $426.96
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $41.74

Yes position

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $658.48
Potential payout: $735.73
Potential profit: $77.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $16.26

Yes position

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $477.99
Potential payout: $624.82
Potential profit: $146.83
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$18.72

Yes position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $201.91
Potential payout: $538.43
Potential profit: $336.52
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $320.62
Potential payout: $517.13
Potential profit: $196.51
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $407.29
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $351.06
Potential payout: $385.78
Potential profit: $34.72
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $87.13

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $106.78
Potential payout: $381.35
Potential profit: $274.57
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $366.55
Potential payout: $373.84
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $259.72
Potential payout: $355.78
Potential profit: $96.06
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $32.6

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $299.85
Potential payout: $322.42
Potential profit: $22.57
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $294.83
Potential payout: $307.76
Potential profit: $12.93
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $69.83

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $11.32
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $282.79
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $89.71
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $204.41
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$10.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $695.51

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.97

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $648.67

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.75

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $633.68

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.29

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $592.33

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.53

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.86

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.25

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $416.47

Yes position

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.44

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $388.12

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.28

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $384.09

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.34

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.3

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $344.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 95% 210.53 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 98.2% 2,366.28 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 93% 215.05 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 53% 47.17 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 86% 1,162.79 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 54% 92.59 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 84% 119.05 shares
Uruguay leading at halftime?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Uruguay to score first vs. Cabo Verde?

Yes 71% 7.04 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 50.9% 1,965.48 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Yes 74% 9.46 shares