Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $585
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.41K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$25.96
Polymarket Trader
interficio
0xc62992ec07bf693a9ea0f9e38e1a17eeff1aaa40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.42K
- Realized PnL
- $10.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $993.96
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $362.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $135
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $365
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $223.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $82.49
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.79
No position
Will SOL flip XRP again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.97
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.42
No position
Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.48
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 25 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.36
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.5
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.04
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.31
Yes position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.56
Up position
Solana Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Yes position
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.96
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.36
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.02
No position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 89% 250 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 82% 1,000 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 74% 500 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 499.99 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 72% 250 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 29.99 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 1,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 80% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 79% 250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 93% 1,400 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 72% 2.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 5 shares