No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $251.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $119.03
Polymarket Trader
0xc636bad91E7d4259907683a5e2e6fb19c5B85ef9-1769440088092
0xc636bad91e7d4259907683a5e2e6fb19c5b85ef9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.9K
- Realized PnL
- $1.91K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $470.88
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $530.99
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$29.12
No position
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $637.14
- Potential payout
- $715.89
- Potential profit
- $78.75
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $480.96
- Potential payout
- $525.93
- Potential profit
- $44.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $39.18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $223.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$55.5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $109.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $190.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $217.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.03
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.97
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $116.88
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.42
No position
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.56
Yes position
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
No position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Neil Khot be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.54
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 88% 45 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No 84% 225.93 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 36% 200 shares
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 74% 200 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 88% 300 shares
- Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?No 89% 32.3 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No 84% 300 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 83% 150 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 300 shares
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 77% 100 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 37% 100 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.5% 519.48 shares