Polymarket Trader

HowToBasic

@don_dealer61123

0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.3K
Realized PnL: $54.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $23.14K
Potential payout: $23.18K
Potential profit: $34.76
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.92K
Potential profit: $5.92K
User PnL: -$2.57K

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $229.53
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$141.79

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $170.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $447.29
Potential payout: $559.11
Potential profit: $111.82
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$12.71

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $335.36
Potential payout: $365.91
Potential profit: $30.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $13.36

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $216.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $84.6
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $103.17
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $48.54
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $10.98
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24.28

No position

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $26.49
Potential payout: $34.7
Potential profit: $8.21
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $24.05
Potential payout: $26.14
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $21.23
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.11

Yibing Wu position

Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.47
Potential profit: $7.47
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.79K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.27K

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.61K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Jarry position

Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Fonseca

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $933.69

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.32

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.26

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.95

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $727.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.81

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $701.55

No position

X Money launch in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 92.9% 1,075.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 90.5% 155.86 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 51.2% 274.43 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 76% 336.84 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 24% 144.44 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 36.4% 274.43 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 98.5% 212.76 shares
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

No 73.5% 154.32 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 90% 144.44 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

No 88% 130.68 shares
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo

Alex de Minaur 98% 23.8 shares