Polymarket Trader

McEsme

0xc63e7aa916693e5a4124ca686f462f5f98f79064

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $322.97
Realized PnL: $120.05
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournament

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $508.48
Potential profit: $507.46
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $50.8
Potential payout: $298.82
Potential profit: $248.02
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $163.49
Potential payout: $240.43
Potential profit: $76.94
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $50.49

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $13.45
Potential payout: $205.29
Potential profit: $191.84
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $202.5
Potential profit: $200.17
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $90.15
Potential payout: $100.5
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $80.15

Yes position

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $8.6
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.39
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Dallas Mavericks position

NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.53

LA Lakers position

NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakers

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.1

Colton Smith position

Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.32

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$4.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$5.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournament

Yes 0.2% 161.63 shares
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 8.6 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?

Yes 10% 100.5 shares
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Yes 1.2% 202.5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?

Yes 16.7% 298.82 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 17?

No 47% 240.43 shares
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka

Colton Smith 99.9% 313.32 shares
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka

Colton Smith 91.5% 313.32 shares
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Yes 6.8% 205.29 shares
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks 64.2% 363.92 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 22% 434.7 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D AND LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Anton Shepp AND Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

9.2% 145.63 shares