Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
lilmarco
0xc641c28d60e2153ba72ef03bc1f45996a2889517
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $593.4
- Realized PnL
- -$214.23
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $360.18
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.81x
- User PnL
- -$196.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $226.95
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $60.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.79
- Potential profit
- $324.79
- User PnL
- -$75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.17
- Potential profit
- $317.17
- User PnL
- -$160.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.67
- Potential profit
- $272.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $83.09
- Potential profit
- $82.76
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $81.92
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.37
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $83.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.29
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.79
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.66
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.62
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $83.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $81.96
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $82.91
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.79
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $57.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.57
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- $15.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$27.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$95.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 29% 183.42 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 28.9% 300 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 30.2% 264.36 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 19.5% 83.08 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 40% 253.99 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 14.5% 204 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 14.4% 204.96 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 14.3% 20 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 12.2% 45 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 12.1% 300 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 12.1% 311 shares