No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$23.87
Polymarket Trader
FireCape
0xc64f9ec71fbf6b81e14f81b597a3d516661f4ab8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.19
- Realized PnL
- $19.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $28.17
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - Pink Pantheress & Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Aliens - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Like Animals - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "FYA - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "E85 - Don Toliver" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Body to Body - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "NORMAL - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Hooligan - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Porch Light - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will "Body to Body - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
No position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will "Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Muhammed Mokaev win against Arman Tsarukyan?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will "LA CANCIÓN - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will "The TikTok Killer: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will "BAILE INoLVIDABLE - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will "E85 - Don Toliver" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will "STEEL BALL RUN JoJo's Bizarre Adventure" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 83% 20 shares
- Will "The TikTok Killer: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?No 99.9% 206.21 shares
- Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "E85 - Don Toliver" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "Porch Light - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "Body to Body - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "FYA - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - Pink Pantheress & Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No 99.8% 1 shares
- Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No 99.9% 1 shares