Polymarket Trader

Cadabra

0xc65e8816443985b1148f03b8aea249fb96861502

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.08K
Realized PnL: $75.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $42.12K
Potential payout: $110.69K
Potential profit: $68.58K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$18.14K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $19.96K
Potential payout: $84.05K
Potential profit: $64.09K
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: -$10.74K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16K

Yes position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46K

No position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99K

No position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46K

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Dvalishvili position

O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili

Ends Sep 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

No position

Will Trump drop out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.81

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $533.92

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $498.84

Makhachev position

Makhachev vs. Moicano

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.72

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.64

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.74

Ankalaev position

Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.66

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.38

No position

Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 36% 39,597.98 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 54.4% 109,892.11 shares
Aspinall vs. Gane

Aspinall 77% 7,782.62 shares
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

No 96.4% 3,188.46 shares
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

No 97% 3,000 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 0.6% 9,636.94 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 12.6% 3,969.68 shares
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

No 89% 562 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 18% 701.5 shares
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

No 89% 1,000 shares
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

No 91.8% 33,000 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

No 54.8% 5,111 shares