No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $29.32K
- Potential payout
- $32.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Polymarket Trader
pemul1s
0xc65fa568479fafe40c99d08d7de4379bc860a150
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.94K
- Realized PnL
- $4.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $15.94K
- Potential payout
- $16.87K
- Potential profit
- $927.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $607.23
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $5.68K
- Potential payout
- $6.45K
- Potential profit
- $773.97
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $992.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.88
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.23
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.1
No position
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.53
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.45
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.54
Yes position
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.43
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.54
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.63
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.59
Yes position
Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.31
Yes position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.08
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.89
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.62
Yes position
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.17
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.52
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
No position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes 99.9% 2.39 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 1,091.38 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 1.18 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 98.1% 98.11 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 99.7% 11,948.48 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 28,401.85 shares
- Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Yes 97.9% 407.66 shares
- Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?Yes 99.9% 3,366.48 shares
- Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?Yes 99.7% 20,605.32 shares
- Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Yes 97.9% 102.16 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 98.8% 10,314.3 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.8% 15.35 shares