Polymarket Trader

0909bian

0xc66badb54fb7517705addf0dba5ccd523e3fa9bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $36.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65
Potential profit: $2.65
User PnL: -$2.54

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: -$1.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

25bps cut position

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Up 53% 6.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 48% 41.67 shares
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.1% 1 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No 96.8% 1.05 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

No 99.8% 1.45 shares
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Yes 95.3% 1.77 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.3% 1.96 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 95.5% 2.06 shares
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.9% 2.02 shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98% 2.04 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.9% 2.08 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.3% 2.07 shares