Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $266.58
- Potential payout
- $329.11
- Potential profit
- $62.53
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $65.58
Polymarket Trader
StrongWindIn
0xc689082e43d465088ae26c0817360ad053666306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $348.31
- Realized PnL
- $14.75
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $44.6
- Potential payout
- $59.87
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $10.95
- Potential payout
- $15.31
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.89
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 62% 1.61 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 63% 1.59 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 3.37 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 4.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 86% 2.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99% 4.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 86% 2.33 shares
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?No 94.5% 2.12 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?No 95% 2.11 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 62% 4.84 shares