Polymarket Trader

dontscry

0xc68f2fa39fc4ab06a82f084825b6f29cbffd85ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.96K
Realized PnL: $640.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $149.06
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$132.3

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $948.75
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $51.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $25.12

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $479.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $177.09
Potential payout: $208.34
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$102

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $159.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $99.96
Potential profit: $93.47
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $31.51
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $11.84
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.6

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.55

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.03

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.37

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

No position

Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $10.09

No position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

No position

Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Yes 4% 2,985.18 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?

No 96% 500 shares
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 86% 208.34 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Yes 4% 2,683.33 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 54% 300 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

Yes 6% 2,750 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 82% 180 shares
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 96% 33 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 82.2% 727.72 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 82.2% 1,000 shares
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

No 99.7% 9.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 13% 3,999.99 shares