Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $89
- User PnL
- -$7.21
Polymarket Trader
SpunkyHazelnut
0xc694b3de14c6f31858024aec4ceb068e3fc1509d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.63
- Realized PnL
- $94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $66.53
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $26.9
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 8.2% 29 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 99% 67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.1% 89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?Yes 4.1% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.8% 79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 94.5% 17 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 93.4% 5 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 5.2% 79 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.5% 8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.4% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.3% 22.08 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 96.8% 77 shares