Polymarket Trader

Fish9119

0xc6954c273884821c225c8ee8d615f26860156438

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.95K
Realized PnL: $859.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $264.29
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $329.97
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $278.75
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $799.57
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $122.75

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $172.25
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $904.31
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $80.31

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $527.64
Potential payout: $624.79
Potential profit: $97.16
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $253.25

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.43
Potential profit: $263.43
User PnL: -$68.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $63.29
Potential payout: $152.5
Potential profit: $89.21
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $23.49

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$42

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $101.18
Potential payout: $147.92
Potential profit: $46.74
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $22.84

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $100.63
Potential profit: $80
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$21.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $66.39
Potential payout: $87.94
Potential profit: $21.54
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $30.39

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $62.8
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$22.6

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$32.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $22.09
Potential payout: $39.8
Potential profit: $17.71
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$14.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $35.63
Potential profit: $26.18
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.96

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $34.09
Potential profit: $28.81
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$15.12

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $15.33
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $26.19
Potential payout: $31.36
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $11.09

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.03
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $19.62
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.49
Potential profit: $24.49
User PnL: -$3.76

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.7

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.56

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $52.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.4

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.73

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $42.75

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.24

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

Yes position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

No position

Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $36.63

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.43

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.4

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.51

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.1%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $25.21

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $23.5

No position

EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 21.17 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 3.75 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 15 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 97% 6.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 67% 1.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 56% 1.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 56% 1.79 shares