Polymarket Trader

Denis99

0xc6a28c25a8409f2d5bea1d5041355eec097fd076

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.45K
Realized PnL: $132.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $468.05
Potential payout: $6.24K
Potential profit: $5.77K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.28K

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $68.94
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.23K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $5.25K
User PnL: -$4.16K

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $221
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $663
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$201

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $96.14
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $4.15

No position

Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.9%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $726.5
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$166.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$1.33K

No position

Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $63.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $88.82

No position

Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $743.71
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $822
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $234.3

Yes position

Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$242.25

Yes position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $94.91
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$142.03

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $130.28
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $51.98

Yes position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$178.57

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $550.59
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $659.5
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $12.44

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $330
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $869.99
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $162.31
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 7.30x
User PnL: $67.73

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $23.54
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $129.07
Potential payout: $754.81
Potential profit: $625.74
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: -$290.71

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $532.54
Potential payout: $669.86
Potential profit: $137.32
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$45.69

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $593.75
Potential payout: $648.9
Potential profit: $55.16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.24

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $570.76
Potential profit: $568.76
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$331.35

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $491.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $61.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.29K

No position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.05K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.12

No position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $647.74

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.91

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.47

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.67

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

Yes position

Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.02

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.2

Yes position

Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.76

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.2%
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: $47.49

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.23

No position

Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 59.6% 125 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 75.7% 500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 75.7% 40 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74.1% 30 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74.1% 30 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 90.1% 30 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 92.2% 65 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 92.4% 5 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

No 89.6% 140.14 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74.7% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74.6% 142.11 shares
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 95.1% 831.7 shares