ignc.v2

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $876.41
Potential profit: $876.41
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.11
Potential profit: $598.11
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.94
Potential profit: $354.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.59
Potential profit: $274.59
User PnL: -$13.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.5
Potential profit: $252.5
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Frank Rubio be chosen for the Artemis III mission?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $219
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.89
Potential profit: $198.89
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.97
Potential profit: $191.97
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.33
Potential profit: $168.33
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $159.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.56

Yes position

Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $81.21
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $67.8
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.13
Potential profit: $134.13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.12
Potential profit: $108.12
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.45
Potential profit: $102.45
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.6
Potential profit: $100.6
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.76
Potential profit: $96.76
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.81
Potential profit: $91.81
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.81
Potential profit: $91.81
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $43.31
Potential payout: $85.69
Potential profit: $42.38
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$6.55

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 53.3%
Current value: $44.7
Potential payout: $83.86
Potential profit: $39.16
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: -$8.76

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $67.6
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.92

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $33.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $20.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 8?