Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.26K
- Potential profit
- $13.26K
- User PnL
- -$9.03K
Polymarket Trader
0xc6bD70e4d462CA1CE4360E47294671E997480b58-1745132572437
0xc6bd70e4d462ca1ce4360e47294671e997480b58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$4.21K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.48
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.01
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.87
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.05
Yes position
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.52
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.46
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.29
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.6
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.26
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.66
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.39
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.78
No position
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.3
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.08
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.94
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.01
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.65
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.5% 1,013.1 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 89% 1,446.22 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No 97.4% 1,312.5 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No 56.3% 1,312.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 1,730.78 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 85% 1,166.2 shares
- Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop?No 99.8% 4,205.41 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 78% 593.73 shares
- Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?No 99.5% 465.17 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 52% 1,730.78 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?No 92% 719.71 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?Yes 4% 829 shares