Polymarket Trader

badkidsart

0xc6c210a895ca825636ee72bc991386b399851b0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.58K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $93.71
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $45.24
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $97.32
Potential payout: $926.89
Potential profit: $829.56
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$102.68

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $45.83
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $787.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$54.17

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $155.85
Potential payout: $754.72
Potential profit: $598.87
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$44.15

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $129.77
Potential payout: $701.44
Potential profit: $571.67
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$70.23

Yes position

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $98.27
Potential payout: $578.06
Potential profit: $479.79
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.73

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $502.78
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $52.78
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $75.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $424.75
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$24.75

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $396.81
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $28.72
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$3.19

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $402.13
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $23.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $122.92
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $293.75
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $22.92

Yes position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $69.19
Potential payout: $373.99
Potential profit: $304.8
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$30.81

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $69.14
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $275.69
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$30.86

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $307.35
Potential payout: $312.83
Potential profit: $5.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $76.16
Potential payout: $304.64
Potential profit: $228.48
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$123.84

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $54.55
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $248.48
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$45.45

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $113.66
Potential payout: $287.74
Potential profit: $174.08
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $13.66

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $90.74
Potential payout: $270.87
Potential profit: $180.13
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $52.3
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $217.97
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $98.59
Potential payout: $257.07
Potential profit: $158.48
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $60.68
Potential payout: $247.69
Potential profit: $187.01
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $10.68

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $208.05
Potential payout: $229.89
Potential profit: $21.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8.05

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $209.64
Potential payout: $224.7
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 33% 15 shares
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

No 90.8% 110.11 shares
Is Earth flat?

No 97.6% 102.46 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 416.67 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 109.89 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 270.27 shares
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 156.25 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 73% 136.99 shares
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79.7% 125.5 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 70% 142.86 shares
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.9% 111.23 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86% 116.28 shares