Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $10.38
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Polymarket Trader
Apundance
0xc6db3f4597ba2a413d2114310f38734e72172a96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.92
- Realized PnL
- -$25.08
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.35
No position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 48.1% 10.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp 87% 5.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp 77% 6.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown 78% 6.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp 62% 8.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp 95% 5.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown 94% 5.32 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp 68% 1.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 41.9% 4.63 shares