No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $684.29
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $393.33
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $283.3
Polymarket Trader
W805
0xc6e1a61da4ff3d0b29a802c50b107fab29dbfa2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $716.46
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $21.27
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $278.72
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- -$29.73
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.1
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$53.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.67
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.5
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.53
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.96
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.37
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.58
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.64
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.3
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.74
No position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.6
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $21.17
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 33.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 1,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 35% 285.71 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?No 97.4% 1,350 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?Yes 7% 300 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?No 87% 1,350 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 7,055.09 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 7,055.09 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 91% 1,252.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 96.7% 1,188.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 87% 1,188.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 78% 200 shares