No position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $96.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Polymarket Trader
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
0xc6e4d704e0d0ef504b53669ae3bf7dea158c2005
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.85
- Realized PnL
- $69.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.46
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.26
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
1,425+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 99.8% 250.5 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 0.3% 11 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 57% 11 shares
- Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98% 100 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 82% 14.14 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?No 99% 16.8 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 94.2% 18 shares
- Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?No 99.8% 28 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?No 99.8% 62.9 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?No 95% 10 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No 41% 30 shares