Polymarket Trader

tator-tot

0xc6ecd4cfa271b59727843491e9adf05004aadeb6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.84
Realized PnL: $884.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $26.78
Potential payout: $334.81
Potential profit: $308.02
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$73.22

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $25.49
Potential payout: $221.68
Potential profit: $196.19
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$49.51

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $15.23
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $99.71
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $62.17
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: $0

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $36.59
User PnL: $0

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.61
Potential profit: $32.61
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: $0

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: $0

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: $0

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.83

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: $0

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during Tele-Rallies?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: $0

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: $0

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.76

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.66

Chicago Cubs position

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.09

Chicago Cubs position

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.26

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Ravens

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.57

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Walz" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.17

Chicago Cubs position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.15

Yes position

Will FedEx say "Smith" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Eight wars" during the announcement on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

Chicago Cubs position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?

Yes 46% 2.17 shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 63% 7.94 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs 67% 22.39 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?

Yes 0.2% 17.24 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?

Yes 2% 12.5 shares
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during UFC 250?

Yes 3% 9.38 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 54% 13.88 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?

Yes 24% 12.5 shares
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during UFC 250?

Yes 53.3% 9.39 shares
Will Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 36% 13.89 shares