Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $14.07
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.51
Polymarket Trader
AnCap.Investor
0xc6f71e0dd4f309f0854bb855c389d95c5ffc87ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.55K
- Realized PnL
- $5.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $175.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $799.96
- Potential payout
- $855.11
- Potential profit
- $55.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $343.67
- Potential payout
- $739.09
- Potential profit
- $395.41
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$6.87
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $542.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $55.88
No position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $316.79
- Potential payout
- $320.64
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $90.18
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $96.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $74.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $71.18
- Potential payout
- $96.19
- Potential profit
- $25.01
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $91.36
- Potential payout
- $95.46
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $34.59
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $22.96
- Potential profit
- $18.11
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $16.84
- Potential payout
- $19.52
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.41
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.75
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.63
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.56
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $240.7
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.28
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.83
N
No position
Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.42
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.1
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.82
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.41
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79
No position
Will Trump post "Spain" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.83
Yes position
Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.27
No position
Will Trump post "Bully of the Middle East" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.53
Yes position
Will Trump post "Artemis" or "Orion" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.17
Yes position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.56
N
No position
Will Trump say "Statuary marble" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.85
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.09
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.65
No position
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.9
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 400 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 35.9% 65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56.7% 400 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 27% 100 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No 71.2% 29.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 50 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 400 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 35.3% 39.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 87.6% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 89% 500 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No 78% 23 shares