No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$207
Polymarket Trader
Gallo-scaltro
0xc6fe590668c936d4b2d7d3db80cb80e9c0f3fd7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.82
- Realized PnL
- $409.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $143.11
- Potential profit
- $133.67
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $88.5
- Potential profit
- $80.27
- Multiplier
- 10.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $22.19
- Potential payout
- $51.02
- Potential profit
- $28.83
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
N
No position
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $23.98
- Potential payout
- $29.07
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
N
No position
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $24.88
- Potential payout
- $26.04
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $11.33
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.66
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.02
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.71
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.85
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 7% 143.11 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes 11.3% 88.5 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No 49% 20.41 shares
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No 86% 29.07 shares
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?No 96% 26.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 49% 51.02 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 43% 93.02 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 90% 44.44 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 137.5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 37% 111.11 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.3% 27.75 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.3% 3.08 shares