Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $900.29K
- Potential profit
- $898.04K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $450.14
Polymarket Trader
CrazyArab
0xc704cc5401580f804c4feb743167824ecbd4045c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.25K
- Realized PnL
- -$13.72K
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- User PnL
- -$351.72
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$98.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.42
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.9
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$900
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.6K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 900,287.43 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 206.46 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 3.5% 1,283.28 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 3.2% 1,027.33 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 0.1% 1,083,000 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 0.1% 1,084.79 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 0.1% 2,250 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 46.4% 25 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No 94.7% 73 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No 94.7% 3,600 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No 94% 107 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No 94% 3,500 shares