0xc70b...d2f2

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $86.48
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $43.89

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $27.27
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $20.23

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.25

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $898.65
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $771.42
Potential profit: $769.49
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $590.7
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $592.34
Potential profit: $590.26
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $591
Potential profit: $585.68
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $575.58
Potential profit: $573.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $562.56
Potential profit: $559.47
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $16.31
Potential payout: $517.73
Potential profit: $501.42
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $485.5
Potential profit: $477.49
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.56

G2 position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $689.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $644.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $642.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.35

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET