Polymarket Trader

KathrynMorris6603

0xc713405cb675a94e386facaeb100db6dc790891f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.56K
Realized PnL: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949
Potential profit: $949
User PnL: -$616.85

Yes position

Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722
Potential profit: $722
User PnL: -$447.64

No position

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $607
Potential payout: $607
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $274.36

No position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $553
Potential payout: $553
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.55

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $59.1
Potential payout: $394
Potential profit: $334.9
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$98.5

Temple Owls position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $191
Potential payout: $382
Potential profit: $191
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $7.64

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$180

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343
Potential profit: $343
User PnL: -$68.6

Under position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211
Potential profit: $211
User PnL: -$128.71

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $194
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $149
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $44.7

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139
Potential profit: $139
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

New pandemic in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $138
User PnL: -$1.93

Real Oviedo position

Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$32.4

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$18.13

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $123
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $122
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $114
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$71.76

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49

Grand Rapids Griffins position

AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24.8

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $93
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.53
Potential profit: $69.53
User PnL: -$18.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $268.2

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.85

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.52

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.72

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.28

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $112.45

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.64

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Massive" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.06

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.36

Yes position

Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.08

Yes position

Will "Island" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.49

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.89

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.91

No position

Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.8

No position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $43.12

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.4

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $36.85

No position

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.19

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.38

Yes position

Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $30.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?

No 54.8% 607 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 21% 325 shares
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls

Temple Owls 48% 382 shares
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins

Grand Rapids Griffins 24.8% 100 shares
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 59 shares
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 10 shares
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 603 shares
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 503 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 19% 325 shares
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 1,175 shares
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

No 54% 802 shares
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 26% 75 shares