Polymarket Trader

keainvren

@ymscjj

0xc717caab0dc0b47d103146a8da253258a10f54bb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.33
Realized PnL: $340.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560.59
Potential profit: $560.59
User PnL: -$554.59

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.73
Potential profit: $216.73
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$99.75

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$40

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$93

Under position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$95.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.3
Potential profit: $20.3
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$10

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.15

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.48

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: $0.48

Over position

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 28% 142.86 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 54% 37.04 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 53% 37.74 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 53% 94.34 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 54% 92.59 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

No 44% 227.27 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

9.9% 202 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

30% 100 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

25.3% 178.57 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

24.6% 101.5 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

28% 178.57 shares