Polymarket Trader

Kamyar89

0xc72cecf38ab0d3ec135ad5a4c78a66a714cda0e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.69
Realized PnL: $432.18
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $414.04
Potential profit: $410.52
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$65.48

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $80.55
Potential payout: $181.02
Potential profit: $100.46
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $17.55

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.72
Potential profit: $93.72
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $14.59
Potential payout: $92.02
Potential profit: $77.44
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $14.67
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $50.54
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $17.18
Potential payout: $63.63
Potential profit: $46.45
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$21.87

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.17
Potential profit: $54.17
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $51.87
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.52
Potential profit: $34.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $15.16
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $16.09
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $9.26
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $12.02
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.59
Potential profit: $18.59
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.92
Potential profit: $12.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.87

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $39.55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.53

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.33

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$4.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 36% 15.67 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 14.47 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 25.98 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 85.78 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 52.96 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 32.2% 15.52 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 38% 5.26 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 35% 5.71 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares