Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $112.36
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Polymarket Trader
Etnof
0xc73b6bdf0a5b42af2c05dd0450989bef1746bd66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.26
- Realized PnL
- $411.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $37.65
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $27.17
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.38
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.11
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.58
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 3.69x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.13
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 7% 7.14 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.7% 114.94 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 12% 88.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?No 18% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?Yes 20% 49.36 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 23?No 69% 39.08 shares
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 23.8% 10 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?Yes 17% 110 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?No 64% 18.92 shares
- Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Yes 14.4% 28.14 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?Yes 1.2% 91.05 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?Yes 21% 81.06 shares