Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $254.21
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $608.83
Polymarket Trader
0xc74e...3917
0xc74edd218724837b5c0746fadd316e8a83983917
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- -$15.43
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.17
- Potential profit
- $419.17
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $78.63
- Potential payout
- $296.71
- Potential profit
- $218.08
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $183.58
- Potential payout
- $228.05
- Potential profit
- $44.47
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $97.58
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.7
- Potential profit
- $59.7
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hellhole" or "Third World" this week? (December 1 - 7)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 41% 129.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 16% 93.75 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 62% 129.03 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 36.7% 1,363.03 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25.3% 296.71 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 42.8% 23.36 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 42% 35.71 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 36% 2.78 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 38% 13.16 shares