Polymarket Trader

0xc7542FE6798844CA2C233133884ce4EfFAaAa2d0-1782320658267

0xc7542fe6798844ca2c233133884ce4effaaaa2d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.5
Realized PnL: -$0.3
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.82
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Yes 55% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 55% 5 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 16.4% 0.05 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 12% 35 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 12.1% 10 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 11.7% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 62% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 37% 5 shares

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